Pound takes centre stage

By Matthew Boyle

Last week, the pound was generally firmer against both the euro and the dollar. Sterling gained support from improving market sentiment and expectations that the Bank of England could maintain a relatively firm policy stance, while the euro was influenced by European Central Bank developments and the dollar lost some momentum later in the week. 

Against the euro, the pound traded in a relatively tight range and finished the week slightly stronger overall, with investors weighing Bank of England and ECB policy expectations.

Against the dollar, sterling recovered after early-week pressure from a stronger US currency. As geopolitical tensions eased and risk appetite improved, the pound strengthened and ended the week on a firmer footing versus the dollar.

For the dollar versus the euro, the dollar started the period relatively strongly but weakened as the week progressed. The euro benefited from expectations around ECB policy and improving investor confidence, leading to modest euro gains against the US currency.

In summary: pound stronger versus euro, pound stronger versus dollar, and euro stronger versus dollar over the course of last week.

This week all eyes will be focused on the pound as we see UK inflation data released on Wednesday, and the all-important interest rate decision by the Bank of England on Thursday. Whilst no change is expected it will undoubtedly set the path for the pound in the coming months and determine whether we will continue to see GBP at close to 12-month highs, or see the Pound slip against the single currency.

Should you have an upcoming transfer to make speak to your currency consultant today for some friendly guidance on how to make your money go further.

Monday

08.30  EUR      ECB president Lagarde speech

10.00  EUR      Industrial production data

Tuesday

05.30  AUD      RBA Interest rate decision and Monetary policy statement

13.30  USD      Housing data

Wednesday

07.00  GBP      Inflation data and Producer price index

13.30  USD      Retail Sales

19.00  USD      Fed interest rate decision and Monetary policy statement

Thursday

07.00  GBP      Claimant count change

12.00  GBP      Interest rate decision and MPC vote

Friday

07.00  GBP      Retail Sales

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